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ADB lowered the growth forecast of developing economies in the Asia-Pacific region to maintain China's economic growth forecast. On December 11th, the Asian Development Bank issued the Asia Development Outlook 2024 (December Edition). According to the report, the development momentum in the Asia-Pacific region is steady, but as US President-elect Trump is about to take office, changes in his trade, finance and immigration policies may inhibit the development of the Asia-Pacific region and aggravate inflation. ADB lowered its growth forecast for developing economies in the Asia-Pacific region from the previous 5.0% to 4.9% in 2024, and from the previous 4.9% to 4.8% in 2025. China's economic growth is expected to remain at 4.8% and 4.5% in 2024 and 2025 respectively, which is the same as before.TF Securities: The supply-side reform of cement has gradually entered the second stage, and the industry profits are expected to go out of the relative bottom. According to the TF Securities Research Report, the whole process of the supply-side reform of cement industry can be divided into two steps. In the first step, the effect of "reducing production" was achieved by controlling the new production capacity and promoting peak-shifting production nationwide, and the industry profits were pushed up to a new high in 2019. At present, the cement industry is gradually entering the second stage of supply-side reform, and it is expected to realize the withdrawal of actual production capacity with the help of market-oriented behaviors such as environmental protection, double carbon policy and enterprise merger and reorganization. In the short term, peak-shifting production is still the most effective means to adjust the balance between supply and demand. After entering 2025, with the gradual tightening of the policy of restricting overcapacity, enterprises are forced to withdraw from small and medium-sized production capacity by making up the indicators of overcapacity, and the industry is expected to begin to realize real capacity clearing. In 2027, it will enter the stage of deepening and perfecting carbon trading, and the effect of industry capacity optimization is expected to be further revealed. At present, the profit end of the cement industry has shown signs of stabilization. Under the dual promotion of policy-driven and self-restraint under the growth of corporate profit demands, the profit in the fourth quarter is expected to begin to walk out of the relative bottom. CONCH, Shangfeng Cement, huaxin cement, China Resources Building Materials Technology and Western Cement are recommended.Eight people were killed when the Israeli army attacked a house in the central part of Gaza, and eight people were killed and many others were injured when the Israeli army bombed a house in Nuseilet refugee camp in the central part of Gaza on the evening of 10th local time.

Byte internal judges that the ceiling of AI dialogue products may not be high, so it is necessary to improve the priority of cutting and dreaming. It is learned from informed sources that Byte management judges that AI dialogue products (or chatbot products) may only be the "intermediate state" of AI products, and a more ideal product form for a long time requires a more visual user experience and a lower threshold for users to use. Therefore, Byte has promoted the product priority of Dreaming, and tried to create a "Tik Tok" in the AI ​ ​ era with a new path. In this regard, I asked the byte for verification, and the byte did not respond. (36Kr)During the year, there were 461 new indices, and the index investment fever continued to climb. On December 10th, in order to meet the investment demand of diversified indices, CSI Index Co., Ltd. officially released five new indices, including CSI 1000 Growth Index, CSI 1000 Value Index, CSI 2000 Growth Index, CSI 2000 Value Index and CSI 1000 Quality Balance Strategy Index. With the "listing" of the above five indexes, the number of newly-issued indexes reached 461 during the year, covering categories such as strategy, style, scale, industry, theme and other fixed-income indexes; Related index asset classes include stocks, fixed income, funds and futures. At the same time, the secondary market, this year, the heat of indexed investment is also high. Looking forward to the future, with the continuous vigorous growth of market demand and unabated heat, and the precise guidance and strong support from the supervisory level, the indexed investment ecology will become more and more perfect. (Securities Daily)Expert: Central enterprises will continue to recruit in A-shares. On the evening of December 9, Huada Jiutian, a domestic EDA leader, announced that China Electronic Information Industry Group Co., Ltd. will become the actual controller of the company. So far, the number of A-share listed companies "incorporated" by central enterprises reached 10 in 2024. The end of 2024 is an important node for central enterprises to optimize the layout of listed platforms. The Work Plan for Improving the Quality of Listed Companies Controlled by Central Enterprises previously issued by the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council made it clear that the adjustment and revitalization of the listing platform should be basically completed by the end of 2024, and it is supported to revitalize through absorption and merger, asset restructuring and cross-market operation, or to withdraw through free transfer and equity transfer, so as to further focus on the main business and advantageous areas. Looking forward to the next layout rhythm of central enterprises in the capital market, many experts interviewed by reporters believe that the pace of "recruiting" of central enterprises in A shares will continue. In the coming period, the cases of central enterprises strengthening their main business through capital operation and giving play to their strategic support and industrial leading functions will be on the rise. (shanghai securities news)

Guotai Junan's annual strategy for innovative drugs in 2025: innovative pharmaceutical companies have accelerated into the harvest period, and the valuation has been at a historical low in the past five years. Guotai Junan said that the centralized purchasing policy has become stable, mature and normalized, and the marginal impact has weakened. Innovative drugs have gained policy inclination in the medical insurance negotiation. In the past two years, the policy has continued to promote pharmaceutical innovation, and the top-level design and local supporting chain support the development of innovative drugs. Commercial insurance is expected to bring new growth momentum to China's pharmaceutical market, and the overall industry trend is upward. At present, the trend of innovative drug industry is improving, the supply continues to accelerate, and a number of domestic innovative drugs are approved soon, which is expected to drive a new round of heavy volume. At the same time, the commercialization has achieved remarkable results and has occupied a dominant position in some sub-sectors. Pharma's performance continued to differentiate, and innovative drugs and just-needed drugs performed well. Biotech commercialization continues to increase, per capita yield continues to increase, the node of turning losses is approaching, and innovation ushers in the harvest period. Horizontal comparison: compared with overseas peers, the overall valuation of domestic innovative pharmaceutical companies is in a historically low range; Vertical comparison: the valuation of SW- pharmaceutical biology and SW- chemical preparations is at a historical low in the past five years, and it is expected that the valuation of subsequent sectors will pick up.OpenAI released the ChatGPT built-in tool Canvas. On December 11th, OpenAI launched the fourth day of technical live broadcast and released the latest function Canvas. According to reports, Canvas is directly built into ChatGPT, providing a separate window, which is mainly used for programming and writing tasks, providing opinions, reviewing and executing specific functions, and providing more detailed services. Simply put, Canvas is equivalent to a built-in Agent to help and guide ChatGPT to make better content generation and modification, and it is automatically triggered.Vanke: It received a loan of 1.05 billion yuan from the Postal Savings Bank. On December 10th, Vanke Enterprise Co., Ltd. (Vanke A, 000002.SZ) issued an announcement on providing guarantee for bank loans. According to the announcement, Vanke recently applied for a loan from Shenzhen Luohu Sub-branch of Postal Savings Bank of China Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Postal Savings Bank"), with a total loan principal of RMB 1.05 billion, and subsequent companies will make withdrawals according to business needs. The holding subsidiaries of the Company provide corresponding mortgage and pledge guarantee for the relevant loans respectively, and at the same time, the holding subsidiaries, as co-borrower, undertake repayment obligations together with the Company. After this guarantee, the total external guarantee of the company and its holding subsidiaries will be 118.673 billion yuan, accounting for 4.732% of the company's audited net assets attributable to shareholders of listed companies at the end of 2023.